With the quality of forecasters we have in this city as well as the quality of forecast information and data, the results are not all the surprising to me. There is not much variation from station to station. Starting with Channel 2: The A.M. weather forecast had a 83% rate and was off the exact temperature by an average of 2.5 degrees. Channel 6 saw a 77% accuracy rate and was off the exact temp by a 2.4 degree average. Channel 8 also recorded a 77% accuracy level and was off the daily high by an average of 2.1 degrees. Finally, our channel saw a 94% accuracy rate, off the exact high temperature by an average of 1.9 degrees. The difference between the channels, .06 degrees, makes literally zero difference. But the fact that each station was off by almost 2 full degrees goes to show you how sensitive the atmosphere is. One little shift in wind patterns or change in moisture content can alter a high temperature. So all in all, not too bad Portland.

Since we have reached the halfway point of 2012, I'm taking a quick recap of the first half of the year to see where my overall accuracy sits. My temperature accuracy stands at 83% and conditions are slightly higher at 91%, that includes a 94% conditions report in June. Passing grades, if I do say so myself. No one's perfect, right?
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